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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2469

Atromitos VS Kifisia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.83%
Draw
30.69%
Away
25.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8416
Log loss
1.3673

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
SHA-256
ada68fb9cc9aa84e3e39043f40c2eaf5d7a24d7ab5ffd3d4f35f69673a19ce7b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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