Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #24681

SpVgg Unterhaching VS Eichstätt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:20 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.42%
Draw
42.38%
Away
16.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5298
Log loss
0.8585

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:20 UTC
SHA-256
ad73992e7addcdde8e03b312034b08a9686ae83f695dff647a795032242b7e19

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →