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Frozen pre-match forecast · #246712

Treviso VS Novara

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.50%
Draw
27.18%
Away
23.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
59131f1e8c0b494894aeb0dfa41969f962fc8fabfd5c9c2aefaf040bc34f2cd3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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