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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24622

KuPS W VS HJK W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.19%
Draw
12.87%
Away
37.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6437
Log loss
0.9692

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
68a44b54dd3c85253ec12cdf03d0a8fa6c0598b6b0a42cc4f0200bd5c72a4123

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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