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Frozen pre-match forecast · #245790

Moghreb Tetouan VS CODM Meknès

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.98%
Draw
27.57%
Away
54.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3158
Log loss
0.6079

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
c22417074d359808a0e91cbba7bcd593a1062f36e95e457be8c908fc0781dc9f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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