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Frozen pre-match forecast · #245784

Atlántico VS Universidad O&M

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.24%
Draw
20.34%
Away
56.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2852
Log loss
0.5723

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
751c3b17dad66d4f1356157b9c89173420f7cd3f27b99e61179fb2c96b636b4b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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