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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24562

Raków Częstochowa U19 VS Górnik Zabrze U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.48%
Draw
41.44%
Away
18.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0067
Log loss
1.7104

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
ab6c6a378d673eb2003c04680df709e0ef3995491d7c1cca79e7c1c6bbbf3a53

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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