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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24539

Benešov VS Slavia III

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.88%
Draw
20.62%
Away
35.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6511
Log loss
1.0356

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
22185e232e3c6f86590cd55e595978dcc9adf2456fa5811c44bbe7e467174600

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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