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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24487

Nacional Potosí VS Always Ready

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.28%
Draw
21.52%
Away
19.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

9 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2490
Log loss
0.5229

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
219cb44599823c014407db23fd281edbf0c99e66e46c8b6deef1e01f5d965f2c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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