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Frozen pre-match forecast · #244272

Cacereño VS Lugo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.39%
Draw
27.84%
Away
33.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
62f38d3cb8dbe531a9b6a3a8bfe3d7a8133e1ab59d3bd4137fb9d18f469f3720

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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