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Frozen pre-match forecast · #244214

Liptovský Mikuláš VS MFK Bytča

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.69%
Draw
15.02%
Away
8.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0838
Log loss
0.2654

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
884faa065a49dbe5cb16d04a66bac70fa6d9d7e6e5b855ab3ef1997b7b1a1073

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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