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Frozen pre-match forecast · #243821

West Ham United U21 VS Juventus U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.83%
Draw
22.57%
Away
25.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3484
Log loss
0.6571

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
eb7e16a16d20c08e196262817756ce8baf9ff25852c5854104677d96eea5e977

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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