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Frozen pre-match forecast · #243817

Everton W VS Durham W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
85.55%
Draw
10.08%
Away
4.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
10999596b79d13540fcd5dbe4b2ac1bd44c91603b8fb7c8bb52b54cbb0c9f080

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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