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Frozen pre-match forecast · #243807

Banfield Res. VS Racing Club Res.

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.17%
Draw
22.69%
Away
43.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4916
Log loss
0.8409

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
256b7e781ea031199f144483e662e3799093a9fa091c77443b2965a572e8a29f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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