Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #243582

Team Altamura VS Cavese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.87%
Draw
28.21%
Away
34.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7732
Log loss
1.2654

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
eb88075ee121c4f3db23429d65edba009484d2f33c8a7fc2b67a66565be1652d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →