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Frozen pre-match forecast · #243553

Al Ain U23 VS Al Wahda U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.90%
Draw
19.83%
Away
14.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2083
Log loss
1.9464

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
0014a2f331bef1013666f0d323c69256787aa69230c7e3f7f22259eb74d7a7f1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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