Frozen pre-match forecast · #243479
Fiorentina VS Juventus
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 05 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 08 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 27.98%
- Draw
- 25.27%
- Away
- 46.75%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.8553
- Log loss
- 1.3756
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 05 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
- SHA-256
- 50f656c8ab3f2d1d40560bd6d3ac22cb7dca4bab5633b915689d62d40c8a4370
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.