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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24325

Viitorul Corbeanca VS Păuleşti

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.38%
Draw
41.34%
Away
18.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5406
Log loss
0.8834

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
8b5c925516b9b051dd7797ea2dbe0afe8f9f51aefb2d0e15f27d636e8739e26a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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