Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #24323

Blejoi VS Berca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.67%
Draw
15.47%
Away
50.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7226
Log loss
1.0886

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
cade57bd2068b00531903ff0730446ab984b170ec59a1e923b8d5f787ef370d2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →