Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #24250

Hapoel Acre VS Hapoel Afula

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.65%
Draw
28.49%
Away
61.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2359
Log loss
0.4803

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
89fbe5e8417e7130cdf1c5f0dd0a234e43974d81b601b1e3af2a3cf3218c49e2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →