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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2425

SJK Akatemia VS KäPa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.69%
Draw
28.88%
Away
32.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6897
Log loss
1.1261

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
SHA-256
1449a38cdec272903ad83b50c3ed0879bcd121b42e797574ef4cae4ad0419a0a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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