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Frozen pre-match forecast · #242416

Notch VS Flora

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.38%
Draw
21.02%
Away
16.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
fcbc27828cd38f7ca16e3e7a204df1886eb3e5e921b77f57e943bbddbd4c0b75

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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