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Frozen pre-match forecast · #242148

Veles VS KAMAZ

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.45%
Draw
28.37%
Away
33.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5694
Log loss
0.9558

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
7c7f6aa1eab19ffb05af8389db96c5f817fcccab54718e7b1c10c6114af1d7f4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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