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Frozen pre-match forecast · #241774

Mercadal VS PE Sant Jordi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.15%
Draw
25.73%
Away
44.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
beb391b5f90f5173ce4a9a9874e39f7da0da4dbd851a3dc6585e7bf245e1ac01

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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