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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24116

Enugu Rangers VS Ranchers Bees

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.54%
Draw
22.32%
Away
8.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1492
Log loss
0.3633

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
d9430b64f58a0d0e5d3b8d36b73d31ff4fda7c8bfddef01d7c6302ee54571da1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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