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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240962

FC Aarau VS FC WIL 1900

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 19:15 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.51%
Draw
22.39%
Away
25.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
47adbcb178e4a968de970aca28fb4c1dcc5a2d6337e7b76c84ce956be1ff8ea3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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