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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24092

Progresul Fundulea VS Axiopolis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.13%
Draw
21.83%
Away
35.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4939
Log loss
0.8410

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
2124a88861e05f3234a75ee5ee2451b4505d79b9e3e03f1a2619fd812b8ac3ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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