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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240847

Newroz VS Karbala

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.74%
Draw
20.80%
Away
10.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
400f551215a9606e64adab21f9e85081fa3f4e6f692bd7a1a33cd27fea577956

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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