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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240346

Doxa VS Olympiakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 10:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.21%
Draw
23.10%
Away
49.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3805
Log loss
0.6994

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 10:01 UTC
SHA-256
247c236ca25f15675948eb977fe3020da2034e0b432683b369c0ee3fbca21680

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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