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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240289

PSV U19 VS Club Brugge U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 07:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.84%
Draw
21.15%
Away
47.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7303
Log loss
1.1444

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 07:02 UTC
SHA-256
a0f91c410c4f658ff4029f1d7c53945f7373c1cdba68488df540c8cac62f9730

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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