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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240267

Pafos U19 VS Benfica U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 07:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
1.03%
Draw
3.57%
Away
95.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0035
Log loss
0.0471

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 07:02 UTC
SHA-256
e1d0a2625a8a2cc3328eed31b4a7d4fa31b884f981a8341e92d7182b79c4e2d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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