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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240252

Karpaty Lviv U19 VS Lviv U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 07:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.25%
Draw
17.69%
Away
13.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1429
Log loss
0.3674

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 07:01 UTC
SHA-256
ca48f6497acf9c4a34b8772f3373f20898e6b99509cd420925105075a64442c3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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