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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240248

Sparta Praha II VS Viktoria Plzeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 07:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 09:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.73%
Draw
22.60%
Away
27.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8215
Log loss
1.2848

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 07:01 UTC
SHA-256
16e42f1e790cb3c47e86ccd2b78bb65c5038f79a7ad059736ecf6db889b6692f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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