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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240108

Bromley VS Milton Keynes Dons

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.77%
Draw
15.05%
Away
73.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1084
Log loss
0.3122

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
fcf735c819beacebf5bf6cf891d6229441ca9dd1b7c71a5be996946975ec3ef9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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