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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24005

Rushall Olympic VS Kettering Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.14%
Draw
21.89%
Away
38.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5701
Log loss
0.9379

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
a263b8d9ffa047b9e078f8e2dc936919d3e2252f4a97601161ff48fdf45c431c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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