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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240028

Deportivo de La Coruña W VS Valencia W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.06%
Draw
24.05%
Away
20.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9868
Log loss
1.5659

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
4a55f17de1d42dedd0ff65452f970dbeb2310dcb82c2bd19e03f863567e7833b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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