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Frozen pre-match forecast · #240024

Foggia VS Barletta

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.47%
Draw
28.71%
Away
36.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6004
Log loss
0.9991

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
859edf2ab7941a7c2b0d23a76e280f9a928c9d14d8e59caa354259fa08a4c6ad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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