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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23984

Clachnacuddin VS Ross County

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.28%
Draw
16.09%
Away
58.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.2609
Log loss
0.5339

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
07ff2103b67aee378feefbe74c13c25c5f764f9e22460eb330eb95232857d1bc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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