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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23981

Banks O' Dee VS Aberdeen U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.59%
Draw
17.58%
Away
29.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3447
Log loss
0.6426

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
d6dd0daabbfd60401a2c645bbd6637d0f9db0c6308ed964556dcedfd12784273

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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