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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23917

Al Bidda SC VS Al Shamal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.26%
Draw
23.82%
Away
35.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.6295
Log loss
1.0239

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
325829f4fb88caaf8bf92c7198f0e1ef15ad34e50d4331d7c8adb77ed22988f0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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