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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23905

Cetate Deva VS Unirea Sântana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.82%
Draw
17.20%
Away
31.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7505
Log loss
1.1401

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
649086a58b1df4f6b616c3b95e2c1faf62f5a408b0082c42a2dad1dd01b232ca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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