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Frozen pre-match forecast · #238850

Peterborough VS Reading

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.85%
Draw
23.95%
Away
48.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
0e7a08c3ef4a9fc8d2cfd3e6189515dcf7b3982a0e95477c59f1ba94e4f7dbc6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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