Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #238838

RAAL La Louvière VS Cercle Brugge

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.37%
Draw
25.69%
Away
37.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5835
Log loss
0.9693

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
00ebfc6ac96c2aacf07c6423027590e9b3c797f61acf0d3406c20ade6b5a3978

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →