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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2388

Bsk Bijelo Brdo VS Hrvace

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.13%
Draw
32.28%
Away
19.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9824
Log loss
1.6302

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
SHA-256
3a83041204e5228b47a736caa70aeb960c45d4f0997e9689e84a74afc812feac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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