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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23837

Jonkopings Sodra VS Skövde AIK

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.67%
Draw
22.43%
Away
24.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3363
Log loss
0.6411

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
9e695c4471bac2b0e70278f86188280d8ed175f60b778f82849d31ac2786848a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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