Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #23835

Os VS Åsane II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.39%
Draw
17.34%
Away
15.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1597
Log loss
0.3947

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
8c5ed17bcc0ffb5a4d1cd14b5a82aa9ba3339d0e298bbd3b6be259b6e19e108d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →