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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23830

Shahin Bandar Ameri VS Pars Jonoubi JAM

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.26%
Draw
33.45%
Away
40.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6743
Log loss
1.0952

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
4194a23d132bf60d88fdeaa028e0c25d27c9b347a35cda7045155ae81cace272

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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