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Frozen pre-match forecast · #237113

Rennes VS Olympiakos Piraeus

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.00%
Draw
25.42%
Away
31.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8408
Log loss
1.3696

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
af3526013dc320d10b146c455b7565a11ab1941f65cecfbe8d73213c97ef8d27

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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