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Frozen pre-match forecast · #237

Muaither SC VS Al-Khor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.49%
Draw
27.61%
Away
18.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3283
Log loss
0.6257

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
8b33b845542d10caa4439e9c95f7ae9084f5670d368e6c246ee32ac14e59a28f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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