Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #236996

Dynamo de Douala VS Gazelle

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.59%
Draw
17.14%
Away
9.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1077
Log loss
0.3067

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
1655fd819768133d2999f5c49ebd7c127bbbe8f0d3b1426182b1019306ede970

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →